Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The purpose of the opposition's impeachment is to evade the legal responsibility of its leader Li Zaiming by holding an early general election.CITIC Jiantou: With the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that recently, the National Energy Administration issued the "Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovation and Development of New Business Entities in the Power Field", proposing that new business entities should be exempted from applying for power business licenses and exploring the mechanism of establishing new energy direct connection to increase the supply of green power for enterprises. Specifically, the new business entities include distributed power supply, adjustable load, virtual power plant and smart microgrid. At present, the installed capacity of new energy in China is growing rapidly. Due to the restriction of power grid access capacity, the problem of power abandonment is on the rise. The mechanism of direct connection of new energy enterprises is helpful to improve the ability of local consumption of new energy, reduce the abandonment of wind and light, and promote the improvement of project yield. Generally speaking, with the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the profitability of new energy power generation projects is expected to improve marginally, and the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted.
Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Rosario Grain Exchange: Argentina's wheat production in 2024/25 is estimated to be 19.3 million tons, compared with the previous estimate of 18.8 million tons.Jiuwu Hi-Tech: the first successful candidate for the procurement project of China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Company, with a bid price of 125 million yuan. Jiuwu Hi-Tech announced on December 12, and on December 11, the procurement e-commerce platform of China Minmetals Group Co., Ltd. released the "Announcement of Successful Candidates for the Procurement of Adsorbent Supply, Filling and Related Services for the Construction and Installation Project of Lithium Project in China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd.", and the company was the first successful candidate for this project. The company's tender offer is 125 million yuan, accounting for 16.56% of the company's audited operating income in the previous year.
US President-elect Trump issued a document saying that the resignation of Christopher Babers, director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), is a great day for the United States, accusing the FBI under his leadership of illegal actions, such as illegal search of his home, illegal impeachment and prosecution, which undermined the future of the United States. At the same time, it is believed that Kash Patel is the most qualified candidate to lead the FBI, and he is expected to confirm his leadership position to make the FBI great again. He also said that grassroots FBI personnel and the American people also hope to see these changes.The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and HSBC signed a $1 billion trade flow arrangement for emerging markets.Market news: South Korean prosecutors summoned the Minister of Health to participate in the investigation.